洛阳钼业 603993 资源股趋势波动模型

替代原跟庄模型:用趋势评分、相对沪深300强弱、ATR波动、回踩/反转信号控制买卖。信号按次日开盘执行。
生成时间:2026-06-30 04:05:57
最新交易日2026-06-29
最新收盘18.00
趋势评分0 / 100
次日建议空仓观察
正常区间17.48 - 18.52(-2.89% ~ +2.89%)
极端区间17.25 - 18.75(-4.17% ~ +4.17%)
回测总资产¥92653
回测收益率-7.35%
最大回撤-9.06%
交易次数6 次
回踩买入区18.11 - 18.49
反转试仓区17.25 - 18.35
止损线≤ 17.10
止盈观察≥ 19.44

2026-06-30 买卖区间

以 2026-06-29 收盘价 18.00 为基准。正常波动:17.48 - 18.52(-2.89% ~ +2.89%);极端波动:17.25 - 18.75(-4.17% ~ +4.17%)。
回踩买入区:18.11 - 18.49;暴跌反转试仓区:17.25 - 18.35;止损线:17.10;止盈观察:19.44。当前结论:空仓观察,趋势分不足,正常区间内不主动买。

模型规则

只在趋势评分改善、MA20接近MA60或上穿、相对沪深300强度不弱时参与;不追单日大涨;暴跌后必须等次日收阳且不再创新低。ATR波动高时目标仓位降到30%,普通环境50%,低波动强趋势最高60%。亏损5%止损,放量跌破MA20下沿退出,盈利8%后用移动止盈保护。

最近交易

日期动作价格股数金额原因
2026-03-25BUY17.73160028368暴跌后次日收阳且不再创新低,反转试仓
2026-03-26SELL17.61160028176放量跌破MA20下沿,退出
2026-05-28BUY19.10260049660强趋势回踩MA20/MA60区域,轻仓参与
2026-06-09SELL17.00260044200单笔亏损达到5%,强制止损
2026-06-25BUY18.38150027570强趋势回踩MA20/MA60区域,轻仓参与
2026-06-29SELL17.25150025875单笔亏损达到5%,强制止损

近30个交易日

日期开盘最高最低收盘涨跌趋势分ATR当日动作次日信号原因
2026-05-1817.8618.0917.5218.02-3.07%155.10%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-05-1918.0718.1617.5817.89-0.72%05.05%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-05-2017.5117.7817.2817.67-1.23%04.93%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-05-2118.0918.3317.3117.35-1.81%05.11%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-05-2217.5118.3517.2818.24+5.13%04.99%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-05-2518.6619.2518.6119.05+4.44%255.07%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-05-2618.8820.1718.5220.10+5.51%605.15%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-05-2720.0020.1619.2819.32-3.88%455.36%HOLDBUY强趋势回踩MA20/MA60区域,轻仓参与
2026-05-2819.1019.1018.2018.80-2.69%205.57%BUYHOLD未触发
2026-05-2919.2719.3218.5018.51-1.54%155.31%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-0118.5518.9318.3118.42-0.49%155.09%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-0218.7119.7818.5219.74+7.17%1005.15%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-0319.5320.1519.3819.89+0.76%855.19%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-0419.4819.4818.6218.74-5.78%405.64%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-0518.6019.1318.0718.19-2.93%255.81%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-0817.1017.4516.6616.89-7.15%256.56%HOLDSELL单笔亏损达到5%,强制止损
2026-06-0917.0017.1016.3217.05+0.95%255.99%SELLHOLD未触发
2026-06-1016.4516.9716.1816.79-1.52%06.08%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-1116.6017.6016.4117.37+3.45%05.91%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-1218.3619.1118.0019.11+10.02%605.86%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-1519.4921.0019.4920.92+9.47%605.96%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-1620.4020.7219.9320.03-4.25%706.04%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-1719.8320.5019.5820.17+0.70%1006.07%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-1819.7721.1419.7120.04-0.64%856.19%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-2220.2221.7419.6421.65+8.03%1006.21%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-2321.6021.6119.4919.49-9.98%657.22%HOLDHOLD未触发
2026-06-2418.9019.2918.3818.98-2.62%407.59%HOLDBUY强趋势回踩MA20/MA60区域,轻仓参与
2026-06-2518.3818.4817.9318.07-4.79%408.07%BUYHOLD未触发
2026-06-2618.3518.4217.1617.24-4.59%258.50%HOLDSELL单笔亏损达到5%,强制止损
2026-06-2917.2518.2017.1818.00+4.41%07.74%SELLHOLD未触发